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Predict 2015 rubber market trend according to the situation in 2014
According to the Shenzhen Qiyu related information of rubber in December 31, 2014 index for 685 points, compared with 777 points for the year fell 92 points, hit a record low cycle. In fact, this doesn't mean the latex tube, silicone tube, rubber tube industry will do, which is affected by the national policy change.
Looking back on the whole rubber plate trend in 2014, whether natural rubber or synthetic rubber showed an overall trend of decline, natural rubber had transient peak in July after continued downward, annual fluctuations, December record low.
The cut-off point in March in the first half of the year, at the end of the 3 first half nadir, rubber index low to 682 points.
Beginning in April, the downstream tire enterprises purchase intention gradually increased. Rubber plate showing a slight rebound, but the rebound strength is limited, and the concentration of natural rubber into the open cut stage, subject to domestic macroeconomic data poor effect, to close at the end of fall back again.
The beginning of May to July, rubber plate to maintain sustained uplink state.
Since August the rubber industry began to fall in the situation, the reason for a negative supply surplus situation difficult to change, this year the R & D of synthetic rubber in China to obtain apparent effect, make the synthetic rubber have larger role in rubber supply.
2014 natural rubber prices have continued to decline trend, although the stock has appeared phase decrease, but due to the reduction of synthetic rubber and tire demand shock, 2014 rubber section in stumbling walked rubber history most "bitter, bleak ending a year".
Shenzhen Qiyu think, through the inventory data display and natural rubber, natural rubber in the forecast for 2015 opened will still be vulnerable to change, while there may be rising volatility in a year, but the overall price is affected by the synthetic rubber and storage, it is difficult to appear big rebound, if no major event, in 2015 the year of natural rubber prices will continue in 2014 the vulnerable.
This article from the Shenzhen City Qiyu Silicone Rubber Co., Ltd.: http://m.baozhi.net.cn/news_v.asp? Id=260
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